Studying Lyon's Vélo'V: A Statistical Cyclic Model

Abstract : Lyon's community bicycle program called Vélo'v is a major initiative in shared public transportation, in activity since May 2005. It is studied here at a global level, to assess the evolution with time of the number of hired bikes. Based on the entire Vélo'v data set, up to December 2007, a statistical model is proposed to describe the daily and weekly patterns in a cyclostationary manner, jointly with the non-stationary evolutions over larger time-scales larger. Combining this model with linear statistical regression, a procedure is developed for the prediction of the number of bikes hired per hour. This prediction method involves several explanation factors such as the number of subscribed users, the time in the week, the occurrence of holidays or strikes, and weather parameters (temperature, volume of rain). The conclusion is that, for most days, the observation of the number of actually hired bicyles is satisfyingly explained and predicted by the model proposed here.
Complete list of metadatas

Cited literature [5 references]  Display  Hide  Download

https://hal-ens-lyon.archives-ouvertes.fr/ensl-00408147
Contributor : Pierre Borgnat <>
Submitted on : Wednesday, July 29, 2009 - 11:24:54 AM
Last modification on : Tuesday, November 5, 2019 - 3:58:02 PM
Long-term archiving on : Monday, October 15, 2012 - 3:40:51 PM

File

velov_subm_ECCS_09_v3.pdf
Files produced by the author(s)

Identifiers

  • HAL Id : ensl-00408147, version 1

Citation

Pierre Borgnat, Patrice Abry, Patrick Flandrin, Jean-Baptiste Rouquier. Studying Lyon's Vélo'V: A Statistical Cyclic Model. ECCS'09, University of Warwick, Sep 2009, Warwick, United Kingdom. ⟨ensl-00408147⟩

Share

Metrics

Record views

712

Files downloads

597