Studying Lyon's Vélo'V: A Statistical Cyclic Model

Abstract : Lyon's community bicycle program called Vélo'v is a major initiative in shared public transportation, in activity since May 2005. It is studied here at a global level, to assess the evolution with time of the number of hired bikes. Based on the entire Vélo'v data set, up to December 2007, a statistical model is proposed to describe the daily and weekly patterns in a cyclostationary manner, jointly with the non-stationary evolutions over larger time-scales larger. Combining this model with linear statistical regression, a procedure is developed for the prediction of the number of bikes hired per hour. This prediction method involves several explanation factors such as the number of subscribed users, the time in the week, the occurrence of holidays or strikes, and weather parameters (temperature, volume of rain). The conclusion is that, for most days, the observation of the number of actually hired bicyles is satisfyingly explained and predicted by the model proposed here.
Type de document :
Communication dans un congrès
ECCS'09, Sep 2009, Warwick, United Kingdom. Complex System Society, 2009
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Soumis le : mercredi 29 juillet 2009 - 11:24:54
Dernière modification le : mercredi 31 octobre 2018 - 12:24:18
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  • HAL Id : ensl-00408147, version 1



Pierre Borgnat, Patrice Abry, Patrick Flandrin, Jean-Baptiste Rouquier. Studying Lyon's Vélo'V: A Statistical Cyclic Model. ECCS'09, Sep 2009, Warwick, United Kingdom. Complex System Society, 2009. 〈ensl-00408147〉



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