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A new model for conference submissions

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Patrick Flandrin
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Abstract

Electronic submission to a conference is a process that is known to evolve nonlinearly in time, with a dramatic increase when approaching the deadline. A model has recently been proposed by Alfi et al. (Nature Physics, 2007) for such a process, and the question of its universality has been raised. This problem is revisited here from a data analysis and modeling point of view, on the basis of a larger data set. A new model is proposed that better describes the complete evolution of the process (including saturation) and allows for a running prediction of the total number of submissions.
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Dates and versions

ensl-00321073 , version 1 (12-09-2008)

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  • HAL Id : ensl-00321073 , version 1

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Patrick Flandrin. A new model for conference submissions. 2008. ⟨ensl-00321073⟩
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